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2017/4
Metrological factor of natural gas imbalance in “GDS-consumer” system
Geosciences

Authors: Farit G TUKHBATULLIN was born in 1950. In 1972 he graduated from the Ufa Oil Institute. He is Doctor of Technical Sciences, professor of the Department of Petroleum Products and Natural Gas Supply of Gubkin Russian State University of Oil and Gas (National Research University), Member of the Russian Academy of Engineering and Technology. He is author of 21 inventions and 170 scientific papers. E-mail: ellkam@mail.ru
Dmitriy S. SEMEICHENKOV was born in 1993. In 2015 he graduated from Gubkin Russian State University of Oil and Gas (National Research University). He is graduate student of the Department of Petroleum Products and Natural Gas Supply Gubkin Russian State University of Oil and Gas (National Research University). Не is author of 7 publications. E-mail: d.semeichenkoff@yandex.ru
Tagir F. TUKHBATULLIN was born in 1976. In 1988 he graduated from the Ufa Oil Institute. He is Candidate of Technical Sciences, Deputy Head of the Department of 310/2/1 310 PAO „Gazprom”. His research interests include improved management of technological modes of transport of gas. Не is author of 15 publications. E-mail: tagtuh@mail.ru

Abstract: The influence of the metrological factor on the magnitude of the imbalance of natural gas in the process of delivery to end users is analyzed using methods of mathematical statistics. It is proved that it is the metrological factor that makes a decisive contribution to the total amount of gas imbalance that must be constantly monitored and maintained at an acceptable level

Index UDK: 519.222:519.237.4

Keywords: imbalance gas, metrology factor, commercial account of gas, relative error, absolute error, variance, expectation

Bibliography:
1. Gmurman V.E. Probability theory and mathematical statistics: Textbook for high schools. M.: Higher School, 2003, 479 p. (in Russian).
2. STO Gazprom  5.37-2011. Uniform technical requirements for equipment flow measurement units and the amount of natural gas used in JSC „Gazprom”, 51 p. (in Russian).
3. STO Gazprom  5.32-2009. Organization of natural gas measurement, 90 p. (in Russian).
4. STO Gazprom 2-3.5-454-2010. Rules of operation of gas mains, 164 p. (in Russian).
5. RD 153-39.4-079-01. Methods of determining the flow rate of gas for technological needs of gas supply companies and losses in gas distribution systems, 14 p. (in Russian).
6. Hvorov G.A., Kozlov S.I., Akopova G.S., Evstifeev A.A. Reduction of losses of natural gas for transportation through main pipelines of JSC „Gazprom”. Gas industry, 2013, no. 12, p. 66-69 (in Russian).
7. Pavlovsky M.A. Application of mathematical statistics to analyze the reasons for the imbalance in the transport of natural gas pipeline transmission system. Electronic scientific journal „Oil and gas business”, 2012, no. 1, p. 69-74 (in Russian).
8. Andriishin M.P., Igumentsev E.A., Prokopenko E.A. Linear trends in the diagnosis of the gas balance. Aerospace technics and technology, 2008, no. 10 (57), p. 213-217 (in Russian).
9. Ignatiev A.A. Evaluation of the cause imbalance volumes of gas in the system, „producer-consumer”. Gas industry, 2010, no. 6, p. 20-22 (in Russian).
10. Andriishin M.P., Igumentsev E.A. Dynamics of indicators of statistical reporting gas imbalance. Metrologiya, 2014, p. 427-430 (in Russian).
11. Belov D.B., Ignatiev A.A., Solov’ev S.I. The problem of measurement error in the commercial resource accounting (for example, natural gas deliveries). Methods of conformity assessment, 2012, no. 9, p. 20-24 (in Russian).
12. Salikov A.R. Imbalance in gas distribution networks. Russian gas, 2015, no. 4, p. 36-41 (in Russian).
13. Newsletter of the Federal Tariff Service (FTS) of 28.06.2005 ref. Number of CH-3923/9 „On gas losses taken into account”, 2 p. (in Russian).

2017/3
Prediction of natural gas values imbalance
Geosciences

Authors: Farit G. TUKHBATULLIN was born in 1950, graduated from the Ufa Oil Institute in 1972. He is Doctor of Technical Sciences, professor of the Department of Petroleum Products and Natural Gas Supply of Gubkin Russian State University of Oil and Gas (National Research University), Member of the Russian Academy of Engineering and Technology. He is author 21 inventions and 170 scientific papers. E-mail: ellkam@mail.ru
Dmitriy S. SEMEICHENKOV was born in 1993. Не graduated from Gubkin Russian State University of Oil and Gas in 2015. He is graduate student of the Department of Petroleum Products and Natural Gas Supply of Gubkin Russian State University of Oil and Gas (National Research University). He is author of 3 publications. E-mail: d.semeichenkoff@yandex.ru
Tagir F. TUKHBATULLIN was born in 1976. Нe graduated from the Ufa Oil Institute in 1988. Candidate of Technical Sciences, Deputy Head of the Department of 310/2/1 310 PJSC «Gazprom». Research interests: more efficient management of technological modes of transport of gas. He is author of 15 publications. E-mail: tagtuh@mail.ru

Abstract: The need for specialized software and programming and computing suites ), to forecast the magnitude of the imbalance of natural gas when it is sold to end users, as well as to enter on-line statistically accumulated information in order to increase the effectiveness of managerial decisions in the dispatch administration of the Unified Gas Supply System is demonstrated

Index UDK: 519.237.5:62.503.56

Keywords: gas imbalance, dispatch administration, commercial metering of gas, forecasting, regression analysis

Bibliography:
1. Gmurman V.E. Probability theory and mathematical statistics: Textbook for high schools. M.: Higher School, 2003, 479 p. (in Russian).
2. Sukharev M.G. Forecasting methods: Textbook. M.: Russian State University of Oil and Gas 2009, 208 p. (in Russian).
3. STO Gazprom 5.37-2011 uniform technical requirements for equipment flow measurement units and the amount of natural gas used in JSC «Gazprom» (in Russian).
4. STO Gazprom 5.32-2009 Organization of natural gas measurement (in Russian).
5. STO Gazprom 2-3.5-454-2010 rules of operation of gas mains (in Russian).
6. Hvorov G.A., Kozlov S.I., Akopova G.S., A.A. Evstifeev. Reduction of losses of natural gas for transportation through main pipelines of JSC «Gazprom». Gas industry, 2013, no. 12, р. 66-69 (in Russian).
7. Pavlovsky M.A. Application of mathematical statistics to analyze the reasons for the imbalance in the transport of natural gas pipeline transmission system. Electronic scientific journal «Oil and gas business», 2012, no. 1, p. 69-74 (in Russian).
8. Andriishin M.P., Igumentsev E.A., Prokopenko E.A. Linear trends in the diagnosis of the gas balance. Aerospace technics and technology, 2008, no. 10 (57), p. 213-217 (in Russian).
9. Andriishin M.P., Igumentsev E.A. Dynamics of indicators of statistical reporting gas imba- lance. Materialy IX Megdunarodnoi naychno-texnicheskoi konferenzii «Metrologiya — 2014», g. Xar’kov, 15-17 oktyabrya, p. 427-430 (in Russian).